Consistent efficacy outcomes between phase 2 and phase 3 trials in Crohn's disease or ulcerative colitis in adults: a meta-analysis.

INTRODUCTION: The approval of novel biologic agents and small molecules for the treatment of Crohn's disease (CD) and ulcerative colitis (UC) is dependent on phase 3 randomized controlled trials (RCTs). However, these trials sometimes fail to achieve the expected efficacy outcomes observed in phase 2 trials. METHODS: We conducted a systematic review of RCTs that evaluated biologic agents and small molecules using paired regimens in both phase 2 and phase 3. We searched Medline, EMBASE, and Cochrane databases up until February 13, 2024. The revised Cochrane tool was utilized to assess the risk of bias. A generalized linear mixed-effects model (GLMM) was employed to estimate the odds ratios (ORs) for efficacy outcomes in phase 2 trials compared to phase 3. RESULTS: We identified a total of 23 trials with 10 paired regimens for CD and 30 trials with 11 paired regimens for UC. The GLMM analysis revealed that phase 2 CD trials had higher outcomes measured by the Crohn's Disease Activity Index (CDAI) by 9-13% without statistical significance: CDAI-150: OR, 1.12 (95% CI 0.83-1.51, p = 0.41); CDAI-100: OR, 1.09 (95% CI 0.88-1.35, p = 0.40); or CDAI-70: OR, 1.13 (95% CI 0.61-2.08, p = 0.66). For UC, two efficacy outcomes were estimated to be equally reported in phase 2/phase 3 pairs: clinical remission: OR, 1.00 (95% CI 0.83-1.20, p = 0.96); endoscopic improvement: OR, 0.98 (95% CI 0.83-1.15, p = 0.79). However, the rate of clinical response was underestimated in phase 2 by 19%: OR, 0.81 (95% CI 0.70-0.95, p = 0.03). The inclusion criterion for the type of Mayo score for UC had a significant interaction with the study phase to influence the difference in clinical response (p = 0.002). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that the main efficacy outcomes for CD and UC remain consistent between phase 2 and phase 3 trials, except for UC response rates. The efficacy data obtained from phase 2 trials can be considered reliable for the design of subsequent phase 3 trials. REGISTRATION: PROSPERO (CRD42023407947).

Fragility index analysis for randomized controlled trials of approved biologicals and small molecule drugs in inflammatory bowel diseases.

INTRODUCTION: Biologics and small molecules have been increasingly applied in Crohn's disease (CD) and ulcerative colitis (UC). But the robustness of their trials has not been evaluated. METHODS: We initially collected all the approved biologics or small molecules for CD or UC up to December 1, 2022. Databases were then queried by keywords in chemical name and CD or UC. Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) in the two-arm, 1:1 design were included. Fragility index (FI) and fragility quotient (FQ) were subsequently calculated. RESULTS: We included twenty-eight RCTs, including nine pivotal trials listed in approval labels, nineteen non-pivotal trials not included in the labels. The median sample size was 99 [IQR, 60-262] and the median number of loss-of-follow-up (LFU) was 14 [IQR, 8-43]. Pivotal trials in the labels had the median FI of 8 [IQR, 4-14, n = 6] that was marginally higher than non-pivotal trials (3 [IQR, 2-4], p = 0.08). The median FQ was 0.0330 [IQR, 0.1220-0.0466] and 0.0310 [IQR, 0.0129-0.0540] for pivotal and non-pivotal trials, respectively (p = 1.0). The sample size and FI were significantly correlated (Spearman correlation coefficient [r] = 0.56, 95 %CI 0.21-0.78, p = 0.003). The number of total events was also significantly correlated with FI (r = 0.53, 95 %CI 0.17-0.77, p = 0.006). Study p-values were significantly associated with FI (p = 0.01): trials with p-values < 0.001 had the highest median FI of 10 [IQR, 6-17]. No factor was found strongly correlated with FQ. CONCLUSION: Results from trials assessing administration-approved biologics or small molecules for treating CD or UC were vulnerable to small changes by measuring FI or FQ. Pivotal studies contributing to regulatory approvals exhibited a relatively higher degree of resilience compared to non-pivotal trials.

The intestinal microbial metabolite acetyl l-carnitine improves gut inflammation and immune homeostasis via CADM2.

Intestinal symbiotic bacteria play a key role in the regulation of immune tolerance in inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) hosts. However, the bacterial strains directly involved in this regulation and their related metabolites are largely unknown. We sought to investigate the effects of intestinal microbial metabolites on intestinal epithelium and to elucidate their therapeutic potential in regulating intestinal mucosal inflammation and immune homeostasis. Here, we used metagenomic data from Crohn's disease (CD) patients to analyze the composition of intestinal flora and identify metabolite profiles associated with disease behavior, and used the mouse model of dextran sodium sulfate (DSS)-induced colitis to characterize the therapeutic effects of the flora metabolite acetyl l-carnitine (ALC) on DSS-induced colitis. We found that intraperitoneal injection of ALC treatment could significantly alleviate the symptoms of DSS-induced colitis in mice, including prevention of weight loss, reduction in disease activity index (DAI) scores, increasing of colonic length, reduction in histological scores, and improvement in intestinal barrier function. Further, transcriptome sequencing analysis and gene silencing experiments revealed that the absence of CADM2 abolished the inhibitory effect of ALC on the TLR-MyD88 pathway in colonic epithelial cells, thereby reducing the release of inflammatory factors in colon epithelial cells. And we confirmed a significant downregulation of CADM2 expression in intestinal tissues of CD patients compared to healthy people in a population cohort. In addition, we also found that ALC increased the ratio of Treg cells in colon, and decreased the ratio of Th17 cells and macrophages, thereby improving the immune tolerance of the organism. The proposed study could be a potential approach for the treatment of CD.

Increasing ratio of opportunistic infections associated with sunshine exposure and economic level burdening Chinese inflammatory bowel disease hospitalized patients: the first nationwide survey from 2014 to 2019.

BACKGROUND: The rising prevalence of opportunistic infections (OIs) in inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) in conjunction with the use of biologics/immunosuppressive agents has garnered attention. However, there is a dearth of research on OIs in Mainland China. This study seeks to evaluate the national ratio trend of OIs in IBD and elucidate the influence of economic and climate factors on IBD patients with OIs and their outcomes. METHODS: The nationwide data was obtained from the Inpatient medical record home page via the Health Statistics and Information Reporting System (HSRS). Patients diagnosed with IBD were enlisted for participation, and their demographic and clinical information, encompassing infection type, surgical procedures, and expenses, were gathered. The National Bureau of Statistics provided data on monthly sunshine exposure hours and yearly Gross Domestic Product (GDP). RESULTS: Findings indicate that between 2014 and 2019, a total of 381,752 patients with IBD were admitted to hospitals, with 364,249 patients lacking OIs and 17,503 patients presenting with OIs. The annual proportion of OIs exhibited an upward trend, rising from 3.54% in 2014 to 4.81% in 2019. There was a significant correlation observed between individuals who identified as male, those who visited hospitals in southern regions, or those originating from areas with lower GDP or shorter sunshine exposure hours, and a higher incidence of OIs. Among patients diagnosed with either Crohn's disease (CD) or ulcerative colitis (UC), Clostridium difficile was found to be the most prevalent infection, followed by Epstein-Barr virus and cytomegalovirus. Furthermore, the occurrence of OIs was found to be associated with an increased rate of surgical interventions in UC patients. CONCLUSIONS: The rising prevalence of OIs among hospitalized patients with IBD necessitates heightened attention towards mitigating associated risk factors, particularly among IBD patients residing in less developed regions or experiencing limited exposure to sunlight. This approach aims to minimize hospital stays and associated costs.

A Shortened Diagnostic Interval and Its Associated Clinical Factors and Related Outcomes in Inflammatory Bowel Disease Patients from a Cohort Study in China.

Aim: The diagnosis of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) worldwide is complicated and results in diagnostic delay. However, the diagnostic interval of IBD and the factors associated with diagnostic delay in patients in China have not been determined. Methods: We retrospectively analyzed clinical data of hospitalized IBD patients in Peking Union Medical College Hospital from January 1998 to January 2018. Patients were divided into non-delayed and delayed groups according to their diagnostic interval. Results: A total of 516 and 848 patients were confirmed to have Crohn's disease (CD) and ulcerative colitis (UC), respectively. The median diagnostic intervals were 6 and 20 months in patients with UC and CD, respectively (P<0.05). A decreasing trend in the diagnostic interval for IBD was observed over time, from 9 months to 1 month in UC patients and from 30 months to 3 months in CD patients. The longest diagnostic interval was 29.5 months in CD patients with first symptoms at the age of 51-60 years and 12.5 months in UC patients at the age of 41-50 years. In patients with CD, intestinal obstruction (OR=2.71), comorbid diabetes (OR=4.42), and appendectomy history (OR=2.18) were risk factors for diagnostic delay, whereas having fever as the first symptom may reduce its risk (OR=0.39). In patients with UC, the misdiagnosis of chronic enteritis (OR=2.10) was a risk factor for diagnostic delay. Conclusion: The diagnostic interval for IBD has decreased over the years. Some clinical manifestations, such as initial symptoms and age at symptom onset, may help to shorten this interval. Diseases such as tuberculosis and infectious enteritis should be considered during differentiation.

Differences in the incidence and mortality of digestive cancer between Global Cancer Observatory 2020 and Global Burden of Disease 2019.

The burden of digestive cancers is increasing worldwide. The Global Cancer Observatory (GLOBOCAN) 2020 and the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2019 are two primary cancer databases, which have a significant impact on policy formulation and resource allocation. We aim to compare the incidence and mortality of digestive cancers between them. Digestive cancer (esophageal, stomach, colorectal, liver, gallbladder and pancreatic cancer) incidence was obtained from the Cancer Today and GBD 2019 result tool. The top five countries with the most or minor difference between GLOBOCAN 2020 and GBD 2019 in age-standardized incidence rates (ASIRs) of digestive cancers were identified. A systematic search on the incidence of specific digestive cancer in selected countries from PubMed and Embase was conducted, and 20 of 281 publications were included. The most significant differences in digestive cancers incidence were commonly found in Asian countries (70%), particularly Indonesia, Vietnam and Myanmar, located in Southeast Asia. The ASIRs for most digestive cancers, except liver cancer, in GLOBOCAN 2020 were higher than those in GBD 2019. Gallbladder cancer had the highest average ratio, followed by liver cancer. The most commonly used standard population was Segi's standard population, followed by the World Health Organization standard population. The data sources nor the processing methods of GLOBOCAN 2020 and GBD 2019 were not similar. Low- and middle-income countries without population-based cancer registries were more likely to have selection bias in data collection and amplify regional variations of etiological factors. Better judgments on the quality of cancer data can be made.

Trend and Geographic Variation in Incidence and Prevalence of Inflammatory Bowel Disease in Regions Across China: A Nationwide Employee Study Between 2013 and 2016.

Background: Incidence and prevalence rates and trends of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) in China remain largely unknown. Objective: This study aimed to estimate the nationwide prevalence and incidence of IBD and identify its noticeable trends in China between 2013 and 2016. Methods: We conducted a population-based analysis using data from the National Urban Employee Basic Medical Insurance database. Patients with at least three claims of IBD diagnosis were identified. A Joinpoint regression model was used to analyze the annual percent change (APC) of the age-standardized incidence and prevalence. Results: The age-standardized prevalence of Crohn's disease (CD) increased from 1.59/100,000 in 2013 to 3.39/100,000 (p < 0.05) in 2016, and that of ulcerative colitis (UC) increased from 8.72/100,000 to 17.24/100,000 (p < 0.05) during the period, with a UC/CD ratio of 5.09 in 2016. The age-standardized incidence of CD varied between 0.82/100,000 and 0.97/100,000 (p = 0.9), whereas that of UC slightly increased from 4.54/100,000 to 4.85/100,000 (p = 0.7). The eastern region of China had the highest incidence and prevalence, and the western region had the lowest rates, in both UC and CD, showing an east-to-west gradient. Conclusion: The incidence and prevalence of IBD in most urban regions in China had an emerging trend over the study period, and an east-to-west gradient was observed, which indicated a greater burden in eastern China. Efforts to improve prevention strategies and promote awareness of IBD are needed, particularly in young men who are at higher risk for CD.

Colonic interleukin-22 protects intestinal mucosal barrier and microbiota abundance in severe acute pancreatitis.

Intestinal barrier dysfunction plays a critical role in the pathophysiology of many diseases including severe acute pancreatitis (SAP). Interleukin-22 (IL-22) is a critical regulator of intestinal epithelial homeostasis. However, the mechanism, origin site, and characteristics of IL-22 in the intestinal barrier dysfunction remains elusive. Studies were conducted in patients with SAP and SAP mice model. SAP mice model was induced by intraductal infusion of 5% taurocholic acid. The level and source of IL-22 were analyzed by flow cytometry. The effect of IL-22 in SAP-associated intestinal injury were examined through knockout of IL-22 (IL-22-/- ) or administration of recombinant IL-22 (rIL-22). IL-22 increased in the early phase of SAP but declined more quickly than that of proinflammatory cytokines, such as IL-6 and TNF-α. CD177+ neutrophils contributed to IL-22 expression in SAP. IL-22 was activated in the colon rather than the small intestine during SAP. Deletion of IL-22 worse the severity of colonic injury, whereas administration of rIL-22 reduced colonic injury. Mechanistically, IL-22 ameliorates the intestinal barrier dysfunction in SAP through decreasing colonic mucosal permeability, upregulation of E-cadherin and ZO-1 expression, activation of pSTAT3/Reg3 pathway and restoration of fecal microbiota abundance. This study revealing that early decreased colonic IL-22 aggravates intestinal mucosal barrier dysfunction and microbiota dysbiosis in SAP. Colonic IL-22 is likely a promising treating target in the early phase of SAP management. Research in context Evidence before this study Intestinal barrier dysfunction plays a critical role in the pathophysiology of severe acute pancreatitis (SAP). Interleukin-22 (IL-22) is a critical regulator of intestinal epithelial homeostasis. However, the mechanism, origin site and characteristics of IL-22 in the intestinal barrier dysfunction remains elusive. Added value of this study Firstly, we determined the dynamic expression profile of IL-22 in SAP and found that IL-22 was mostly activated in the pancreas and colon and decreased earlier than proinflammatory cytokines. CD177+ neutrophils contributed to IL-22 expression in SAP. Furthermore, we found that IL-22 ameliorates intestinal barrier dysfunction in SAP through decreasing colonic mucosal permeability, upregulation of E-cadherin and ZO-1 expression, activation of pSTAT3/Reg3 pathway and restoration of fecal microbiota abundance. Implications of all the available evidence This study highlights the role of colonic injury and colonic IL-22 in SAP. IL-22 is likely a promising treating target in the early phase of SAP management.

Risk of malignancy in patients with inflammatory bowel disease: A population-based cohort study from China.

Carcinogenesis is one of the major complications for patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) and causes poor prognosis. We aimed to describe cancer incidence in the Chinese IBD cohort compared to general population-based cancer registration data and further explore associated risk factors for cancer occurrence in IBD patients. IBD inpatients from January 1998 to January 2018 in Peking Union Medical College Hospital (PUMCH) were included in our study. Patients were followed-up from the date of IBD diagnosis until either the date of first cancer diagnosis or January 2019. Standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) of overall cancer and site-specific cancers were calculated. A total of 869 Ulcerative Colitis (UC) and 516 Crohn's disease (CD) patients were finally included with median follow-up time of 7 and 5 years, respectively. Fifty-three cases developed malignancies. After standardization by age and gender, SIR of total cancer occurrence in IBD patients was 1.77 (95% CI, 1.33-2.32). As for UC, digestive cancers (SIR 3.75; 95% CI, 2.29-5.80), thyroid cancer (SIR 10.34; 95% CI, 4.72-19.64) and hematological malignancies (SIR 6.25; 95% CI, 1.68-16.00) had the highest incidence, which were prominent in young and middle-aged patients. Use of steroids, immunosuppressants or infliximab did not present higher risk of malignancies in UC patients. There was no significant difference in cancer risk between CD patients and general population. In conclusion, the increased risks of multiple cancers are particularly prominent in Chinese UC patients and these findings can provide more targeted guidance for cancer monitoring in Chinese IBD patients.

Artificial Neural Network Analysis-Based Immune-Related Signatures of Primary Non-Response to Infliximab in Patients With Ulcerative Colitis.

Infliximab (IFX) is an effective medication for ulcerative colitis (UC) patients. However, one-third of UC patients show primary non-response (PNR) to IFX. Our study analyzed three Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) datasets and used the RobustRankAggreg (RRA) algorithm to assist in identifying differentially expressed genes (DEGs) between IFX responders and non-responders. Then, an artificial intelligence (AI) technology, artificial neural network (ANN) analysis, was applied to validate the predictive value of the selected genes. The results showed that the combination of CDX2, CHP2, HSD11B2, RANK, NOX4, and VDR is a good predictor of patients' response to IFX therapy. The range of repeated overall area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUC) was 0.850 ± 0.103. Moreover, we used an independent GEO dataset to further verify the value of the six DEGs in predicting PNR to IFX, which has a range of overall AUC of 0.759 ± 0.065. Since protein detection did not require fresh tissue and can avoid multiple biopsies, our study tried to discover whether the key information, analyzed by RNA levels, is suitable for protein detection. Therefore, immunohistochemistry (IHC) staining of colonic biopsy tissues from UC patients treated with IFX and a receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) analysis were used to further explore the clinical application value of the six DEGs at the protein level. The IHC staining of colon tissues from UC patients confirmed that VDR and RANK are significantly associated with IFX efficacy. Total IHC scores lower than 5 for VDR and lower than 7 for RANK had an AUC of 0.828 (95% CI: 0.665-0.991, p = 0.013) in predicting PNR to IFX. Collectively, we identified a predictive RNA model for PNR to IFX and explored an immune-related protein model based on the RNA model, including VDR and RANK, as a predictor of IFX non-response, and determined the cutoff value. The result showed a connection between the RNA and protein model, and both two models were available. However, the composite signature of VDR and RANK is more conducive to clinical application, which could be used to guide the preselection of patients who might benefit from pharmacological treatment in the future.

Increasing newly diagnosed inflammatory bowel disease and improving prognosis in China: a 30-year retrospective study from a single centre.

BACKGROUND: We aimed to characterize the trends of prognosis in ulcerative colitis (UC) and Crohn's disease (CD) in a Chinese tertiary hospital. METHODS: A 30-year retrospective cohort analysis was conducted at Peking Union Medical College Hospital. Consecutive patients newly diagnosed with UC or CD from 1985 to 2014 were included. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. The secondary outcomes included surgery and length of stay in hospital. The Pearson correlation coefficient was applied to determine the relationship between time and prognosis. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed to determine the risk factors for in-hospital mortality and surgery. RESULTS: In total, 1467 patients were included in this study (898 cases with UC and 569 cases with CD). Annual admissions for UC and CD have increased significantly over the last 30 years (UC, r = 0.918, P < 0.05; CD, r = 0.898, P < 0.05). Decreased in-hospital mortality was observed both in patients with UC and CD (UC, from 2.44 to 0.27%, r = - 0.827, P < 0.05; CD, from 12.50 to 0.00%, r = - 0.978, P < 0.05). A decreasing surgery rate was observed in patients with CD (r = - 0.847, P < 0.05), while an increasing surgery rate was observed in patients with UC (r = 0.956, P < 0.05). Shortened average lengths of hospital stay were observed in both UC and CD patients (UC, from 47.83 ± 34.35 to 23.58 ± 20.05 days, r = - 0.970, P < 0.05; CD, from 65.50 ± 50.57 to 26.41 ± 18.43 days, r = - 0.913, P < 0.05). Toxic megacolon and septic shock were independent risk factors for in-hospital mortality in patients with UC. Intestinal fistula and intestinal perforation were independent risk factors for in-hospital mortality in patients with CD. CONCLUSIONS: In this cohort, the admissions of patients with UC and CD were increased, with significantly improved prognoses during the past 30 years.

The Antiviral and Antitumor Effects of Defective Interfering Particles/Genomes and Their Mechanisms.

Defective interfering particles (DIPs), derived naturally from viral particles, are not able to replicate on their own. Several studies indicate that DIPs exert antiviral effects via multiple mechanisms. DIPs are able to activate immune responses and suppress virus replication cycles, such as competing for viral replication products, impeding the packaging, release and invasion of viruses. Other studies show that DIPs can be used as a vaccine against viral infection. Moreover, DIPs/DI genomes display antitumor effects by inducing tumor cell apoptosis and promoting dendritic cell maturation. With genetic modified techniques, it is possible to improve its safety against both viruses and tumors. In this review, a comprehensive discussion on the effects exerted by DIPs is provided. We further highlight the clinical significance of DIPs and propose that DIPs can open up a new platform for antiviral and antitumor therapies.

Role of mitochondrial dysfunction in renal fibrosis promoted by hypochlorite-modified albumin in a remnant kidney model and protective effects of antioxidant peptide SS-31.

Oxidative stress aggravates renal fibrosis, a pathway involved in almost all forms of chronic kidney disease (CKD). However, the underlying mechanism involved in the pathogenesis of renal oxidative stress has not been completely elucidated. In this study, we explored the role and mechanism of hypochlorite-modified albumin (HOCl-alb) in mediating oxidative stress and fibrotic response in a remnant-kidney rat model. Five-sixths nephrectomy (5/6 NX) was performed on the rats and then the animals were randomly assigned to intravenous treatment with either vehicle alone, or HOCl-rat serum albumin (RSA) in the presence or absence of SS-31 (administered intraperitoneally). A sham-operation control group was set up concurrently. Compared with the control group, 5/6 NX animals displayed marked mitochondrial (mt) dysfunction, as evidenced by decrease of mitochondrial membrane potential (MMP), ATP production, mtDNA copy number alterations and manganese superoxide dismutase (MnSOD) activity, release of cytochrome C (Cyto C) from mitochondria to the cytoplasm, and increase of mitochondrial reactive oxygen species in renal tissues. They also displayed increased levels of HOCl-alb in both plasma and renal tissues. These changes were accompanied by accumulation of extracellular matrix, worsened proteinuria, deteriorated renal function, and a marked increase of macrophage infiltration along with up-regulation of monocyte chemoattractant protein (MCP)-1 and transforming growth factor (TGF)-ß1 expression. HOCl-alb challenge further exacerbated the above biological effects in 5/6 NX animals, but these adverse effects were prevented by administration of SS-31, a mitochondrial targeted antioxidant peptide. These data suggest that accumulation of HOCl-alb may promote renal inflammation and fibrosis, probably related to mitochondrial oxidative stress and dysfunction and that the mitochondrial targeted peptide SS-31 might be a novel therapy for renal fibrosis and chronic renal failure (CRF).